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Data mining is an aide to strategic, tactical and operational decision-making in
situations where numerous variables, affecting costs or benefits, impinge on
the eventual outcome of the course of action that a company might decide to
take. The modeling that accompanies data mining assimilates the information on
costs and benefits of alternative courses of action as visualized in the form
of familiar decision trees. Companies use such information to find new
opportunities for growth, choose more effective means to achieve their business
goals and streamline business processes to lower their costs.
Customer churn is one of the several examples of complex business problems that
data mining addresses. A great deal of marketing activity involves customer
acquisition, retention and extension and companies invest considerable
resources to achieve this. When all the competing companies in an industry
exert themselves to woo customers, churn rates increase and higher costs have
to be incurred to attract customers and to keep them. The benefits of
attracting customers in the telecommunications industry, for example, depend on
the length of time they stay with a company, the number and the duration of
their calls. The costs, on the other hand, depend on network costs which are
higher if interconnection charges are incurred or more outbound calls take
place, time of day for calls, i.e., costs are higher at peak time, customer
service support and the duration of calls (shorter calls mean higher costs).
None of these variables can be readily estimated at the outset.
Data mining uses statistical techniques, such as survival analysis, to determine
the length of time for which a customer can be expected to stay with a company.
Based on the profile of groups of customers, as indicated by demographics,
psychographics, price sensitivity and knowledge of alternative vendors, the
length of their expected stay with a company can be estimated. Similarly, the
calling behavior of customers and attendant costs of servicing can be estimated
from their profession, personality (introverted or extroverted), social
networking behavior. Based on such data, companies can decide on the amount of
money they can afford to spend to satisfy customers in order to acquire and
retain their customers.
Profiling or segmentation of the customer base is the linchpin of much of the
benefits that flow from data mining. The task of profiling consists of
identifying homogenous groups of customers who exhibit similar patterns of
behavior. Armed with this information, companies learn to target specific
customers rather than randomly promote products to all of them. Customers are
happier because junk mail otherwise inundates them and is aggravating.
Companies don't have to drain their resources by sending mailers to customers
who are often so indifferent that they toss an offer into a waste paper basket.
Customer segmentation is also a source of innovation such as in the design of
insurance plans in the health industry. In the past, customers had access to
only two broad types of insurance plans; the HMO and the PPO. The prices paid
by customers have been uniform regardless of their actual use of health
services. Consequently, customers are less responsible about their lifestyles
choices such as smoking, weight, diet and exercise. Worse, responsible
customers, who invest in preventive care, by spending on yoga, alternative
care, are not rewarded. As a result, health care costs have been rising rapidly
without a commensurate improvement in quality. In recent years, however,
companies such as WellPoint Health Networks Inc., PacifiCare Health Systems
Inc. and Blue Shield of California consumer driven health plans have started to
offer health insurance plans tailored to the risk profile of customers.
Consumers are allowed to choose their price points and the benefits they
receive and are provided information on the web to make a choice of their
doctors. This is expected to lower waste in the health industry and encourage
preventive care and patients would have a choice to spend on alternative care.
In general, profiling and segmentation of customers helps companies to
efficiently align resources with the specific needs of customers. They can set
prices, choose channels and design communication strategies based on the
character of specific segments of customers.
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